Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1380.965917 1516.783427 1655.512063 1807.539490 1969.180822 2135.643141 2319.754893
2025-03-23 1186.670110 1389.502949 1605.721052 1852.236277 2124.373539 2414.519157 2746.137334
2025-03-30 1047.602073 1288.104523 1552.835661 1863.507479 2215.735606 2600.392849 3049.894963
2025-04-06 937.838745 1203.451412 1504.020861 1865.438478 2284.309440 2750.714066 3305.448437
2025-04-13 814.068447 1089.917886 1410.660719 1805.462028 2272.612395 2802.230261 3442.395841
2025-04-20 774.624517 1072.071223 1425.255629 1867.770813 2399.548679 3010.484109 3757.657465
2025-04-27 726.381995 1038.718565 1417.256940 1899.699139 2488.036315 3172.408124 4018.563955
2025-05-04 668.302259 988.310906 1384.312658 1897.710425 2532.955953 3280.932354 4215.540345
2025-05-11 611.365298 935.134526 1344.177894 1883.432980 2560.106068 3366.180569 4383.507400
2025-05-18 572.179689 902.465514 1327.602527 1896.463966 2619.133463 3488.739007 4595.743681
2025-05-25 527.549095 859.357680 1294.840483 1886.509358 2647.616111 3572.831630 4760.806978
2025-06-01 499.451744 837.106188 1287.867586 1908.424168 2715.272471 3704.576098 4984.070113
2025-06-08 456.289753 791.552691 1248.331388 1887.041421 2727.932427 3769.314405 5127.425780
2025-06-15 439.984536 783.723014 1259.367505 1932.287515 2826.490324 3942.078854 5405.877558
2025-06-22 413.731977 759.428755 1246.208062 1943.910435 2880.597452 4058.647370 5614.713611
2025-06-29 386.513944 731.854368 1226.912521 1945.899847 2921.134323 4157.543882 5801.471204
2025-07-06 342.194614 674.901258 1163.060879 1884.097055 2874.919030 4143.804506 5844.801803
2025-07-13 337.820985 680.654806 1189.774415 1948.302851 2997.554881 4348.107789 6166.041759
2025-07-20 324.968726 671.854823 1194.489878 1981.195981 3077.939718 4498.057557 6418.836342
2025-07-27 303.620705 647.714696 1175.258336 1979.147314 3110.230373 4585.111989 6591.212331
2025-08-03 280.583626 619.173606 1148.039000 1964.438899 3124.263112 4647.674766 6731.865830
2025-08-10 266.013314 604.156943 1140.676636 1977.863268 3176.730349 4760.858366 6938.425632
2025-08-17 246.892348 579.852121 1117.802558 1967.608219 3195.570711 4829.087198 7086.512639